駁彰化「多做一點不會怎樣」 陳時中:偽 - 彰化

By Carol
at 2020-08-22T17:38
at 2020-08-22T17:38
Table of Contents
新聞內容︰
駁彰化「多做一點不會怎樣」 陳時中:偽陽性恐壓垮醫療量能
(中央社記者陳偉婷、吳欣紜台北22日電)
彰化衛生局廣篩無症狀居家檢疫者,稱「只是多做一點」;指揮中心指揮官陳時中今天說
,若防疫做的對,多做沒問題;但若有問題,多做會有大問題,醫療、航空都會崩潰。
陳時中表示,以現在居家檢疫者共25萬人估算,若都要無症狀篩檢,要多花新台幣逾8億
元,也會找到12475個偽陽性個案,這些個案會擠到醫院,要採檢2次陰性至少要5、6天
才能放出來,醫療量能就被擠爆。
不只是醫療量能,陳時中說,針對這些偽陽性個案,指揮中心也必須疫調,也必須通知國
外,國外也會啟動相關的接觸者疫調,且每班航班都有個案,機組員都必須隔離,航空公
司可能都要關了,必須花很多成本執行。
陳時中說,當醫療量能被佔滿,爆出真的疫情需要,醫療開始崩潰,社區傳播就開始,國
外有大量盛行率的國家都是走這樣的模式。大量發生病人、大量篩檢、大量住院、醫療
承受不住,把病人放回社區,沒有很好的居家隔離的方式,造成家人傳染,不斷惡性循環。
陳時中表示,地方政府宣稱「多做一點不會怎樣」,但如果真的這樣做,會變成怎樣,
答案很清楚,用稍微基本公衛常識就可以瞭解,多做一點會造成多大醫療量能的負荷,讓
國家防疫量能崩潰。
此外,陳時中也說,這幾天也聽到一句話「多做一點,檢驗陰性就安心了,家人也放心了
」,聽到這句話讓他憂心忡忡。
陳時中說, 如果因為採檢陰性,個案放心、家人也放心,可能就會放鬆警戒,不會做好跟
家人之的隔離,導致家人感染風險也變高。採檢陰性只是代表檢驗當下病毒量沒有或很低
,但未必就是「沒有生病」,如果安心就鬆懈,就是防疫大破口。
中央流行疫情指揮中心日前宣布,一名長居美國、回台探親的少年確診2019冠狀病
毒疾病(COVID-19,俗稱武漢肺炎),但少年並無症狀,且是在居家檢疫期間被彰化縣
政府通報採檢才確診,是首例無症狀居家檢疫確診者,意外揪出彰化縣違反中央政策,廣
泛篩檢無症狀居家檢疫者,也引起連日風波。(編輯:吳協昌)1090822
新聞網址︰
https://bit.ly/3aUbfEo
附註、心得、想法︰
驗的開銷是一回事
麻煩的是偽陽性帶來的後續影響
可以找出隱藏的無症狀患者當然好
然而當這些患者的傳染力不足以影響整個疫情控管時
是否有必要把檢驗有疫情的檢驗能量用在找出他們上
以及冒著偽陽性的二三篩和隔離開銷
為了偽陽性做的疫調
等等後續風險的影響
那就是另外一個必須面對的課題了
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Sent from JPTT on my Samsung SM-A217F.
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