鐵票區高雄完了?陳水扁估民進黨慘況 - 高雄
By Frederic
at 2018-01-11T20:33
at 2018-01-11T20:33
Table of Contents
鐵票區高雄完了?陳水扁估民進黨慘況
2018選舉腳步近!保外就醫的前總統陳水扁在去年底傳出,和友人分析地方選舉選情,阿扁警告,若中央執政不力,將有7個縣市會「綠地變藍天」。而高雄一直以來,都是民進黨的鐵票區,但前民進黨高雄市議員林武忠受訪時表示,日前拜會阿扁,他私下估高雄市長民進黨還是會贏,但總票數一定掉,且議員可能掉5席。
根據《中評社》報導,林武忠表示,日前拜會阿扁時,阿扁曾私下評估高雄市長民進黨還是會贏,但總票數一定掉,且議員恐掉5席,加上時力黃國昌差點被罷免,大綠小綠面對2018地方選戰會很辛苦。另外,林武忠指出,陳致中宣佈參與高雄市前鎮小港區市議員選舉,只要陳票數夠高拿下2萬票,民進黨在該選區恐怕要掉1席;若拿下3萬票,民進黨恐掉2席,另外鳳山選區民進黨也有可能再掉1席。
2014年高雄市長選舉,民進黨陳菊得票數99萬3300,得票率68.09%,國民黨楊秋興得票數45萬0647,得票率30.89%。高雄市議員部分,國民黨當選24席、民進黨33席、無黨籍議員7席、台聯、親民黨各1席,民進黨是最大贏家。
去年底有周刊報導,親扁人士透露,陳水扁點名嘉義市、宜蘭縣、澎湖縣、彰化縣等4縣市可能是2018變天的重災區,阿扁更進一步指出,如果民進黨執政持續不力,那麼就連外界認為選情穩定的台中市、雲林縣、新竹市,也會被藍營奪回去。但綠營決策人士認為,阿扁這樣的分析情蒐明顯「偏聽」,加上扁身邊沒有國安團隊、黨務系統定期彙報資訊,因此算不上準確。
(中時電子報)
http://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20180111002744-260407
--
2018選舉腳步近!保外就醫的前總統陳水扁在去年底傳出,和友人分析地方選舉選情,阿扁警告,若中央執政不力,將有7個縣市會「綠地變藍天」。而高雄一直以來,都是民進黨的鐵票區,但前民進黨高雄市議員林武忠受訪時表示,日前拜會阿扁,他私下估高雄市長民進黨還是會贏,但總票數一定掉,且議員可能掉5席。
根據《中評社》報導,林武忠表示,日前拜會阿扁時,阿扁曾私下評估高雄市長民進黨還是會贏,但總票數一定掉,且議員恐掉5席,加上時力黃國昌差點被罷免,大綠小綠面對2018地方選戰會很辛苦。另外,林武忠指出,陳致中宣佈參與高雄市前鎮小港區市議員選舉,只要陳票數夠高拿下2萬票,民進黨在該選區恐怕要掉1席;若拿下3萬票,民進黨恐掉2席,另外鳳山選區民進黨也有可能再掉1席。
2014年高雄市長選舉,民進黨陳菊得票數99萬3300,得票率68.09%,國民黨楊秋興得票數45萬0647,得票率30.89%。高雄市議員部分,國民黨當選24席、民進黨33席、無黨籍議員7席、台聯、親民黨各1席,民進黨是最大贏家。
去年底有周刊報導,親扁人士透露,陳水扁點名嘉義市、宜蘭縣、澎湖縣、彰化縣等4縣市可能是2018變天的重災區,阿扁更進一步指出,如果民進黨執政持續不力,那麼就連外界認為選情穩定的台中市、雲林縣、新竹市,也會被藍營奪回去。但綠營決策人士認為,阿扁這樣的分析情蒐明顯「偏聽」,加上扁身邊沒有國安團隊、黨務系統定期彙報資訊,因此算不上準確。
(中時電子報)
http://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20180111002744-260407
--
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