藍委鄭汝芬 宣布退選 - 彰化
By Mary
at 2015-07-02T01:32
at 2015-07-02T01:32
Table of Contents
看到鄭汝芬棄選彰化縣立委第三選區
我就睡著了做了一個夢:
為何不選?大環境對國民黨很不利是主因
陳朝容參選則是壓倒駱駝的稻草
因為陳朝容搓不掉 陳受宋主席交代一定要出征
縱使陳朝容也知道此去凶多吉少
但宋主席有令 只能硬著頭皮選到底
陳雖然很難選上 地方上卻有一定實力
去年他與游月霞生的兒子陳重嘉
以八千五百多票連任縣議員
2016一旦讓這八千五百票瓜分藍營立委票源
加上看到橘旗自動歸位的彰化少數親民黨死忠票
藍營在第三選區可想而知將有多艱辛
接下來我夢到有幾種可能
1.女兒接班 50%
鄭的女兒謝衣鳳是彰化青工會總會長(國民黨組織)
長期跟著媽媽耳濡目染 政治生態可以說是十分熟悉
而且外型亮眼 滿有氣質 高學歷 主打年輕美女牌
如果遮掉黨籍只看外表是海電洪宗熠
重點是輸了也比較沒壓力 新人嘛
2.讓國民黨其他人出來選 25%
看誰交的起學費
就讓他報名出來練經驗值
增加點知名度 當然 敗選是可以預料的
3.還是自己選 20%
鄭汝芬只是棄選 不是退黨
表示與國民黨還願意保有友好關係
未來突然"義不容辭"也是有可能的選項
或用無黨籍參選來淡化國民黨形象
4.議長兒子謝典霖來選 5%
我認為最不可能
議長權力非常大 可以說是呼風喚雨
講難聽一點 可以獲得的'資源"恐怕還比立委多
那何必捨本逐末?何況他還在療情傷呢!
總結
鄭的棄選確實是為彰化立委選情投下震撼彈
但是不是煙霧彈 大家還要觀察看看
選縣長的風聲 現在斷定可能還言之過早
但千萬不要小看謝家政治實力
今年年初立委補選 國民黨上演倒卓復仇記
謝家倒戈不挺詩人 轉而支持無黨籍參選的洪麗娜
在立委補選投票率那麼低
大家又明知洪麗娜幾乎不可能贏的情況下
硬是在第四選區衝出快一萬票
要注意 這還不是在謝家的主場第三選區喔
就要知道謝家絕對不是好惹的
這次彰化立委每個選區都非常有意思
第一選區綠營剛塵埃落定
第二選區藍軍正暗潮洶湧
下次若有夢到再跟大家分享
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彰化
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