苗栗縣長多種對戰組合民調 鍾東錦皆位居 - 苗栗
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By Todd Johnson
at 2022-06-21T16:47
at 2022-06-21T16:47
Table of Contents
https://www.ctwant.com/article/190064
國民黨苗栗縣長布局看似陷入僵局,引發基層支持者極大焦慮,有意代表國民黨參選縣長的苗栗議長鍾東錦和前水利處長謝福弘雙方近期則展開全力衝刺,希望在國民黨中央拍板前,爭取最大多數縣民支持;今(19)日有一份最新民調顯示,鍾東錦以22.1%支持度,大幅領先民進黨縣長參選人徐定禎及時代力量縣長參選人宋國鼎,甚至藍軍若發生分裂,鍾東錦支持度仍領先群雄、位居第一,在縣長選舉具有絕對優勢。
立委徐志榮明確拒絕國民黨中央徵召參選苗栗縣長,且表態全力支持國民黨所推出的參選人後,鍾東錦和謝福弘雙方陣營動作頻頻,分別換上嶄新看板,爭取18鄉鎮市鄉親支持。此外,民進黨徵召的前頭份市長徐定禎和小黨參選人宋國鼎,近期也積極勤跑基層社團活動。
「台灣指標調查研究股份有限公司」於6月中旬以國民黨2位可能性參選人,分別與民進黨、時代力量參選人進行對比,當國民黨由鍾東錦代表參選縣長時,3人支持度為,依序為鍾東錦22.1%、徐定禎14.3%、宋國鼎5.9%、表示都支持有1.3%、都不支持7.0%、未明確回答有49.3%。
國民黨改為謝福弘參選縣長時,支持謝福弘的有14.1%、支持徐定禎者有16.0%、7.7%支持宋國鼎、表示都支持有1.7%,都不支持者10.7%,未明確回答有49.8%。
國民黨目前檯面上2位參選人互比方面,鍾東錦更以24.5%的支持度,大幅領先謝福弘的9.9%、另外表示都支持有3.3%、都不支持者13.4%、未明確回答48.9%。
此外,鍾東錦日前表示,他尊重黨內民主機制來推出苗栗縣長參選人,但不接受只有少數人的密室決定,而且為了國民黨勝選,他一定是當仁不讓,參選到底。
因此,民調題目也考量到,若最後選戰演變成4搶1,詢問民眾會投票支持哪一位,結果仍是鍾東錦以19.8.%支持度,持續領先徐定楨18.2%、謝福弘6.7%、宋國鼎5.7%、表示都支持有1.1%,都不支持者5.9%,但也有42.6%未明確回答。
透過最新民調顯示,鍾東錦支持度並未受到40年前的「江湖歲月」所影響,國民黨由鍾東錦出馬角逐苗栗縣長寶座,才能最妥當延續執政,若改為謝福弘出征,藍軍優勢將不再,甚至小輸對手徐定禎。如果藍軍分裂,鍾東錦和謝福弘2人都參選到底,儘管鍾東錦居於第1名的位置,但支持度僅領先徐定禎1.6%,雙方最後可能要透過棄保效應,凝聚藍綠各自基本盤,才能贏得選戰。
此次民意調查採用「比例估計法」,根據政府公布最新的苗栗縣民眾性別、戶籍地、年齡及教育程度資料等4項特徵,逐項反覆進行連續性修正,於6月15日至17日進行,共計完成有效樣本1069人,在信賴水準95%時的抽樣誤差最大值為±3.0%。
心得:
划重點。
「甚至藍軍若發生分裂,鍾東錦支持度仍領先群雄、位居第一,在縣長選舉具有絕對優勢。」
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By Liam
at 2022-06-17T07:35
at 2022-06-17T07:35
贈送龍舌蘭幼苗
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By Michael
at 2022-06-15T19:14
at 2022-06-15T19:14
樂高兼容的積木玩具邊有在賣?
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By Freda
at 2022-06-13T15:11
at 2022-06-13T15:11
韓國阿嬤泡菜 竹南頭份
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By Frederic
at 2022-06-12T21:05
at 2022-06-12T21:05