花蓮以後政治局勢發展? - 花蓮
By Isla
at 2020-01-16T01:48
at 2020-01-16T01:48
Table of Contents
幾個問題好奇問一下,期待得到答案:
1.花蓮如同台灣其他縣市般實行憲法所保障的地方自治,基於地方自治原則,無論傅or蕭不
都是透過民主選舉結果定勝負?如果說傅被塑造成惡人還可以理解(畢竟前科太多)、那為
什麼要把蕭塑造成花蓮不值得他貢獻?不是自己選輸的嗎?
2.如果說是因為武器不對等,還情有可原。但這樣又有點怪怪的,蕭可是現任立委欸!況國
民黨這次可是有兩個候選人在和分選票欸(假設傅是kmt的lol)。如果這次縣內加縣外(國
民黨現在士氣低迷)的種種有利因素都無法打贏選戰,這樣蕭美琴爾後還有辦法贏嗎?
3.為什麼從選輸到現在,完全沒人願意質疑蕭的選舉策略是不是錯了還是不合花蓮大多數人
胃口?立委四年期間是不是有做的不好還是如何?
4.為此,我特別去查了一下2016的得票數與2020的得票數分別是63231和56485,意即還是有
7xxx人換人投啊。假設我們做最隨便的二分法,以老人都投傅年輕人都投蕭為討論主軸,再
配合這次的返鄉熱潮(假設這次年輕人返鄉比2016多,這也只能假設畢竟沒實質數據),那
麼真實數據可能大於表面所看的63231-56485
5.總結一下好了:姑且不論蕭這4年做的如何,為什麼打輸選戰不用檢討一下選舉戰略而是推
給外在因素,然後那些外在因素真的無法克服嗎?
ps當然我並不熟識任何蕭的內部員工,所以或許他們有檢討是我不知道而已,如果真的是這
樣那就抱歉了!!!
--
1.花蓮如同台灣其他縣市般實行憲法所保障的地方自治,基於地方自治原則,無論傅or蕭不
都是透過民主選舉結果定勝負?如果說傅被塑造成惡人還可以理解(畢竟前科太多)、那為
什麼要把蕭塑造成花蓮不值得他貢獻?不是自己選輸的嗎?
2.如果說是因為武器不對等,還情有可原。但這樣又有點怪怪的,蕭可是現任立委欸!況國
民黨這次可是有兩個候選人在和分選票欸(假設傅是kmt的lol)。如果這次縣內加縣外(國
民黨現在士氣低迷)的種種有利因素都無法打贏選戰,這樣蕭美琴爾後還有辦法贏嗎?
3.為什麼從選輸到現在,完全沒人願意質疑蕭的選舉策略是不是錯了還是不合花蓮大多數人
胃口?立委四年期間是不是有做的不好還是如何?
4.為此,我特別去查了一下2016的得票數與2020的得票數分別是63231和56485,意即還是有
7xxx人換人投啊。假設我們做最隨便的二分法,以老人都投傅年輕人都投蕭為討論主軸,再
配合這次的返鄉熱潮(假設這次年輕人返鄉比2016多,這也只能假設畢竟沒實質數據),那
麼真實數據可能大於表面所看的63231-56485
5.總結一下好了:姑且不論蕭這4年做的如何,為什麼打輸選戰不用檢討一下選舉戰略而是推
給外在因素,然後那些外在因素真的無法克服嗎?
ps當然我並不熟識任何蕭的內部員工,所以或許他們有檢討是我不知道而已,如果真的是這
樣那就抱歉了!!!
--
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