有沒有人看完辯論會決定改投陳其邁的? - 高雄
By Zenobia
at 2018-11-20T19:20
at 2018-11-20T19:20
Table of Contents
※ 引述《clark0816 (阿杯)》之銘言:
: 我不知道這篇小組長會不會刪文。我最近搞不懂高雄的版規。因為高雄沒版主了。
: 我老實跟各位說,投一號的還是投一號。投二號的還是投二號。
: 他們接觸的信息,並不是全面的。
: 他們接受的是「同溫層」的消息。
: 某位有氧老師,我有追蹤他的臉書。
: 一開始打出支持東奧證明。
: 後來,他的「同溫層」告訴他,會影響奧運會籍。
: 所以,他的臉書,改打反對東奧正名活動。
: (申請東奧正名,只是聲請看看,奧協可能打回票,又不是堅持一定要東奧正名)
: 但他的同溫層告訴他就是如此。
: 他又轉貼慶富案,慶富案的虧空,286億元,陳菊要負完全原責任。
: 在底下留言,慶富案是發生在馬英九執政時期,陳菊要負責的,是高雄銀行的50億元,
: 聯貸撥款案。
: 並不是陳菊可以主導中央決策的280多億元的貸款。
: (慶富案,在民進黨初選時,我就在推文中講過了,很多人都以為我在講天方夜譚)
: (那時我說,陳菊為何推出劉世芳出來選?一定有詭。大家都說我想像力太豐富)
: (結果還不是被拿出來打)
: ------------------------------------------------------
: 其實很多人對政治是很冷漠的。只要有一句話觸動他們的心。
: 他們就會支持。即使是草包。
: 我只能說,韓國瑜,還是很有可能當高雄市長。
: 因為有些人看電視,(餐廳現在都只播放52、55台)
: 或著,賴群祖,播放都是對自己陣營有利的消息。
: 所以,昨天真的有改變誰?
: 我也不太相信。
: (不過,因為韓國瑜的政見,我被迫今年來投堵爛韓國瑜的市長票,也實在辛苦我了。)
研究是這樣沒錯啦
會因為辯論而改變投票意向的人實在太少了
https://tw.news.appledaily.com/international/daily/20121005/34553512/
引述上面報導
美國威斯康辛大學政治學教授霍布魯克的研究甚至發現,
在1988年後的16場大選辯論中,
辯論表現對選民投票意向的影響,
平均只有不到1%。
平均只有不到1%。
平均只有不到1%。
威斯康辛在美國是頂大
只是美國是選舉人制度
所以各州1%的游移票
根本不能影響大局
但台灣不是選舉人制度
是票票等值的
假設現在台灣人的政治熱情參與度 是1980前的美國
目前兩人五五波
在民調誤差內
總投票數一來一往下
有可能翻盤
韓國瑜這兩個月
被吹捧到大頭症發作了
以為自己是甘迺迪
辯論實質內容慘成這樣
他的支持者還在幫他強調形象...
只能說 他們想太多了 他連齒垢都沒洗乾淨 根本不用談形象
我從小到大看過這麼多政見辯論會
沒看過棄答 直接說 我不知道的
連被嘲笑一輩子的連家父子檔都沒幹過這種事...
連內容都不說 真的超傻眼
昨天陳其邁說他是大學生
講真的
大學生上台報告
被老師反問
一開口回:我不知道
早就被轟下台了!!
---------------------------------------------------------
這是一次社會實驗
不是智力測驗
只消兩個月砸下大量重金把空戰打熱
再由"地方勢力"配合陸軍造勢充場面
洗腦一波
洗成救苦救難大慈大悲神尊宗師
草包都能送上市長寶座
2020總統大選絕對複製貼上
大家保重 XD
黨產聽說被查封了
社會實驗的錢哪裡來?
呵呵...
住高雄的不可能沒感覺~
這波造勢的錢
絕對超過648當初的好幾倍!!
--
: 我不知道這篇小組長會不會刪文。我最近搞不懂高雄的版規。因為高雄沒版主了。
: 我老實跟各位說,投一號的還是投一號。投二號的還是投二號。
: 他們接觸的信息,並不是全面的。
: 他們接受的是「同溫層」的消息。
: 某位有氧老師,我有追蹤他的臉書。
: 一開始打出支持東奧證明。
: 後來,他的「同溫層」告訴他,會影響奧運會籍。
: 所以,他的臉書,改打反對東奧正名活動。
: (申請東奧正名,只是聲請看看,奧協可能打回票,又不是堅持一定要東奧正名)
: 但他的同溫層告訴他就是如此。
: 他又轉貼慶富案,慶富案的虧空,286億元,陳菊要負完全原責任。
: 在底下留言,慶富案是發生在馬英九執政時期,陳菊要負責的,是高雄銀行的50億元,
: 聯貸撥款案。
: 並不是陳菊可以主導中央決策的280多億元的貸款。
: (慶富案,在民進黨初選時,我就在推文中講過了,很多人都以為我在講天方夜譚)
: (那時我說,陳菊為何推出劉世芳出來選?一定有詭。大家都說我想像力太豐富)
: (結果還不是被拿出來打)
: ------------------------------------------------------
: 其實很多人對政治是很冷漠的。只要有一句話觸動他們的心。
: 他們就會支持。即使是草包。
: 我只能說,韓國瑜,還是很有可能當高雄市長。
: 因為有些人看電視,(餐廳現在都只播放52、55台)
: 或著,賴群祖,播放都是對自己陣營有利的消息。
: 所以,昨天真的有改變誰?
: 我也不太相信。
: (不過,因為韓國瑜的政見,我被迫今年來投堵爛韓國瑜的市長票,也實在辛苦我了。)
研究是這樣沒錯啦
會因為辯論而改變投票意向的人實在太少了
https://tw.news.appledaily.com/international/daily/20121005/34553512/
引述上面報導
美國威斯康辛大學政治學教授霍布魯克的研究甚至發現,
在1988年後的16場大選辯論中,
辯論表現對選民投票意向的影響,
平均只有不到1%。
平均只有不到1%。
平均只有不到1%。
威斯康辛在美國是頂大
只是美國是選舉人制度
所以各州1%的游移票
根本不能影響大局
但台灣不是選舉人制度
是票票等值的
假設現在台灣人的政治熱情參與度 是1980前的美國
目前兩人五五波
在民調誤差內
總投票數一來一往下
有可能翻盤
韓國瑜這兩個月
被吹捧到大頭症發作了
以為自己是甘迺迪
辯論實質內容慘成這樣
他的支持者還在幫他強調形象...
只能說 他們想太多了 他連齒垢都沒洗乾淨 根本不用談形象
我從小到大看過這麼多政見辯論會
沒看過棄答 直接說 我不知道的
連被嘲笑一輩子的連家父子檔都沒幹過這種事...
連內容都不說 真的超傻眼
昨天陳其邁說他是大學生
講真的
大學生上台報告
被老師反問
一開口回:我不知道
早就被轟下台了!!
---------------------------------------------------------
這是一次社會實驗
不是智力測驗
只消兩個月砸下大量重金把空戰打熱
再由"地方勢力"配合陸軍造勢充場面
洗腦一波
洗成救苦救難大慈大悲神尊宗師
草包都能送上市長寶座
2020總統大選絕對複製貼上
大家保重 XD
黨產聽說被查封了
社會實驗的錢哪裡來?
呵呵...
住高雄的不可能沒感覺~
這波造勢的錢
絕對超過648當初的好幾倍!!
--
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