台中+33確診 - 台中
By Lauren
at 2021-05-29T16:06
at 2021-05-29T16:06
Table of Contents
大家仔細想一件事 萬華的源頭找到沒? 找不到呀
以萬華的數量來看 當初獅子王被發現時早就蔓延開了
萬華快篩有這麼高的陽性率是因為感染者太多
問題在於
獅子王.基隆婦人.宜蘭遊藝場都是母親節後面那周確診(5/9-5/15)
事後來看 母親節的群聚讓南來北往的人都把病毒散出去了
昨天台中公布的案例 還有之前的夜唱團
根據足跡多是在上面提到的那周或下周才被感染
而當時大家即便看到萬華等地確診 也只是認為感染源侷限在台北
沒有人想到 那些確診人是在母親節之前就感染(估計4月底就開始)
在母親節當下 病毒已經悄悄的散布到全台
所以當時就算把去過萬華的人全都匡列一遍
也是無法防止今日那些有桃園或高雄移動史的人染疫
-- 除非當時就立刻全國禁止跨縣市移動
台中目前的狀態有點像是萬華剛啟動快篩戰的時間點
開始有一些發病的民眾可以牽出群聚感染
所以這時候確診才開始爆量也是正常的
但這並不表示前一周做的那些快篩就瞎忙
講白一點 之前不做快篩 那也只是演變成萬華那樣--爆發才發現的結果而已
我們反而應該慶幸台中從數千人撈到的人數只有個位數是真陽性
撈到一個就足以讓讓兩周後的確診數量少兩位數
今天+33 不幸中的大幸是其中32個是4大家族群聚
總數很多但是傳染鏈可能相對單純
--
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台中
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