內湖南港人給我進來 - 台北內湖區
By Zanna
at 2016-01-09T14:13
at 2016-01-09T14:13
Table of Contents
怒珊!
內湖是因為眷村多,所以才這麼藍嗎?
而且藍到綠連兩個有實力的藍互拼都討不到便宜!
這已經不是64,而是73,就算拆成433,綠照樣吃土。
數字版列出來,港湖可是堪比苗栗,
只是在整個台北市裡面,這效應降到最低,
也就是若港湖獨立,可能比苗栗好不到哪...
33她應該很明白,她的票源就是來自於淺藍,勉強有點淺綠,
大概就15-20,選議員可以,但這能量絕對不足以支撐立委。
深藍是李的,就算33投贊成,那些人還是李的票,33也吸不到,
而投贊成,卻反而會失去中間甚至淺綠的票,
可是他卻寧願甘冒如此大不諱,在選前捅這簍子?
她是18年議員,這敏感度絕對絕對遠遠遠遠超出我們局外人。
1.她覺得贏夠多,多到讓他當局者迷,喪失了敏感度。
2.她覺得贏夠多,多到讓他能夠深藍交代,而且足以承受這樣的損失,
而在棄保效應下,避免浪費選票,
原本支持李的,看33也支持,而且當選希望比較大,而投給33。
3.交換論,以小換大,(個人比較傾向這個)
以"金額"來看,相對於柯P二備金的數字,三節金數目小很多,
(看,我主要都是支持柯P,但也可以讓我用小小的東西交代選民嗎?)
以小換大,鞏藍固綠,雙方都可交代,
但,這是以"金額"來看,
可是他沒料到大家用"項目"來看,認為這是不合理的,
所以現在這個代,連交都交不了...
題外話
雖然我覺得李慶元這次也是&*()&^,
不過他所提出的理由,看起來還勉強能理解,
雖然也是找藉口罷了,但比33都推給中央有個樣子。
但,棄權或藉故閃人,都比贊成要好多了...
--
內湖是因為眷村多,所以才這麼藍嗎?
而且藍到綠連兩個有實力的藍互拼都討不到便宜!
這已經不是64,而是73,就算拆成433,綠照樣吃土。
數字版列出來,港湖可是堪比苗栗,
只是在整個台北市裡面,這效應降到最低,
也就是若港湖獨立,可能比苗栗好不到哪...
33她應該很明白,她的票源就是來自於淺藍,勉強有點淺綠,
大概就15-20,選議員可以,但這能量絕對不足以支撐立委。
深藍是李的,就算33投贊成,那些人還是李的票,33也吸不到,
而投贊成,卻反而會失去中間甚至淺綠的票,
可是他卻寧願甘冒如此大不諱,在選前捅這簍子?
她是18年議員,這敏感度絕對絕對遠遠遠遠超出我們局外人。
1.她覺得贏夠多,多到讓他當局者迷,喪失了敏感度。
2.她覺得贏夠多,多到讓他能夠深藍交代,而且足以承受這樣的損失,
而在棄保效應下,避免浪費選票,
原本支持李的,看33也支持,而且當選希望比較大,而投給33。
3.交換論,以小換大,(個人比較傾向這個)
以"金額"來看,相對於柯P二備金的數字,三節金數目小很多,
(看,我主要都是支持柯P,但也可以讓我用小小的東西交代選民嗎?)
以小換大,鞏藍固綠,雙方都可交代,
但,這是以"金額"來看,
可是他沒料到大家用"項目"來看,認為這是不合理的,
所以現在這個代,連交都交不了...
題外話
雖然我覺得李慶元這次也是&*()&^,
不過他所提出的理由,看起來還勉強能理解,
雖然也是找藉口罷了,但比33都推給中央有個樣子。
但,棄權或藉故閃人,都比贊成要好多了...
--
Tags:
台北內湖
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