Re: R: 宜蘭市選舉 - 宜蘭
By Enid
at 2014-12-01T20:10
at 2014-12-01T20:10
Table of Contents
→ ccshih5566: 首投族一面倒挺江是你認識的首投族吧12/01 19:46
→ ccshih5566: 如果是分析的話 希望能有更客觀一點的評論12/01 19:47
上屆宋跟這次江票數成長一倍， 而上屆藍的票是綠的近兩倍，這次顛倒，
所以基本盤不變，變的是中間選民。
姓名 得票數 得票率 推薦之政黨 總票數
呂金宏 11,659 24.10% 中國國民黨
賴瑞鼎 14,793 30.58% 無
江聰淵 21,921 45.32% 民主進步黨 48,373
(資料來源 http://ppt.cc/lE4y)
宋岫書 21,399 44.26% 民主進步黨
黃定和 26,945 55.74% 中國國民黨 48,344
(資料來源 http://ppt.cc/wk7L )
什麼叫做客觀的分析
1.上次宋的票數跟這次江的票數沒有成長一倍
2.上屆藍的票也不是綠的近兩倍
民進黨的票數不變 首投族的影響從數字看不出來
因為 本屆市長選舉與上屆市長選舉總票數差距不到30票
從選舉結果與既有資料 只能知道可能變動的是國民黨支持者
如果你的分析可以用數字加以佐證 相信別人不會隨便砲你
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宜蘭
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